Hurricane season is well underway in the US, where numerous systems have developed and dissipated over the last few months. The US is embroiled in a battle on two fronts each year, as both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans see an increase in major storms. Hurricanes most commonly develop from July to November, when an average of 10 named storms pass through North America. This year, experts believe a “higher than average” number of storms will flourish in the region.
In the Atlantic, hurricane season has seen a stall in activity, as no storms have developed in the region for at least three weeks.
Forecasters believe the second half of August could be much the same, with another week of calm ahead.
Weather graphs indicate conditions are “unfavourable” for storms in the area.
However, further south in the Gulf of Mexico and the southeast coast, there is a stalled front brewing.
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Stalled fronts are a non-moving boundary between two air masses, which usually remain in the same place moving as waves for months at a time.
These fronts create a spin in the atmosphere which can occasionally lead to the development of a tropical depression.
Tropical depressions are the precursors for a tropical storm, which can intensify into a hurricane.
Weather experts are watching the front for signs of escalation, and locally heavy rain will come down on the southeastern coast.
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Rainfall could eventually trigger flash floods in the region, but forecasters are yet to raise the alarm for an incoming storm.
Weather experts have, however, warned the “peak” of hurricane season is incoming, with a higher than average storm count.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) warned another five to nine hurricanes could develop before November this year.
In their latest forecast, they upgraded the risk of an above-normal hurricane season from 35 to 40 percent.
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Two of the nine possible storms could be ‘major’ hurricanes, which spin with deadly wins ranging from 111mph to 157mph and above.
Pete Gaynor, acting FEMA administrator, said people must “prepare now”.
He said in a statement: “Today’s updated outlook is a reminder to be prepared.
“We urge everyone to learn more about hurricane hazards and prepare now, ahead of time, so that if state and local authorities announce evacuations in advance of a storm, you and your family will have planned where to go and what to do to stay safe.”