It is breach of international law. Ecuador will be blackballed from international society for doing this. You can’t give someone asylum for seven years and then hand them over, which is what Ecuador has done.
It is a cruel and astounding breach of faith on the part of the Ecuadorian government. They are keen to get loans from the United States and they have done the United States’ bidding.
What happens to Mr Assange? He’ll be held. He can apply for bail, but he will be accused of breaching his bail which is an offence of a lower order usually dealt with by a fine or by imprisonment for a few weeks.
That is not what he is worried about. In a way he is better off in prison than in the embassy where he has been denied medical treatment.
America is hellbent on putting him in prison for a very long time to deter those who publish material about the behaviour of its armed forces. America will assure the British government that he won’t face the death penalty.
The charges they want to extradite him on carry very long years in prison. Chelsea Manning was given 35 years in prison. The charges for Julian Assange add up to 45 years. That’s the not the death penalty, but it may in effect be the death penalty for someone of Mr Assange’s age and health problems.
I imagine the US will apply to extradite him because Mike Pompeo and John Bolton has said so. There will then be hearings in the British courts and no doubt on appeal, so it could take a couple of years. His case will be that America is behaving exorbitantly claiming to extradite a publisher who has published information of public importance.